GBP/JPY crumbled in May.
The pair fell to 136.95 from 145.26 at the open of trading on May 3. That’s the worst month for the pair since Brexit in 2016.
Looking back, the chart told the story. There was a wedge and triple bottom at 143.23 that gave way on May 8 and it was straight lower from there. Those technical levels were ones I had been highlighting ahead of the breakdown and afterwards.
NIRMAL WEEKLY LOTTERY (NR-123) 31/05/2019
In a world of uncertainty, gold shines ever-brighter.
That’s certainly the case today with Trump announcing new tariffs and risk assets getting beaten up. Gold is up $17 to $1306.
The rally breaks the May high of $1303 and means the precious metal will close the month at the highs.
Gold also rallied nicely in the Nov-Dec period on a similar round of fears about trade. The upside here is considerable but it will need to coincide with a deteriorating in economic data.
The Fed funds market is pricing in a 73% chance of two Fed rate cuts this year.
