Numbers couldn’t support the Aussie. Overview for 16.12.2019

Numbers couldn’t support the Aussie. Overview for 16.12.2019

16.12.2019

AUDUSD is falling early in the week influenced by the strong USD and rather mixed statistics.

The Australian Dollar is retreating against the USD in the middle of December. The current quote for the instrument is 0.6870.

In the morning, Australia reported on the Manufacturing PMI, which dropped down to 49.4 points in December after being 49.9 points in the pre3vious month, thus indicating a continual decline in the sector. The Services PMI in Australia decreased down to 49.5 points after showing 49.7 points in November, which is also pretty bad for the Aussie because should be vice versa due to the seasonality.

Numbers from China, no matter how positive they were, couldn’t support the Australian Dollar. The Industrial Production added 6.2% y/y in November and reached its five-month high after showing +4.7% y/y the month before and against the expected reading of +5.1% y/y. Apparently, the indicator improved because of more active domestic demand – the Chinese government put a lot of effort for that.

The Fixed Asset Investment showed +5/2% ytd/y, just as expected. The Retail Sales added 8.0% y/y in November after expanding by 7.2% y/y in October.

News relating to a possible signature of the first phase of the US-China trade agreement should have a positive influence on the Australian currency.

rfxsignals December 16, 2019 No Comments

DAILY FREE FOREX SIGNALS – 16-12-2019 | Форекс – Сообщество Трейдеров |إشارات الفوركس|외환 신호

EURUSD BUY -1.11436
SL-1.11015
TP1-1.11610
TP2-1.11796

EURJPY BUY -121.933
SL-121.513
TP1-122.128
TP2-122.320

AUDJPY BUY -75.375
SL-74.988
TP1-75.578
TP2-75.777

CADJPY BUY -83.360
SL-82.952
TP1-83.538
TP2-83.702

CHFJPY BUY -111.292
SL-110.659
TP1-111.560
TP2-111.795

AUDUSD BUY -0.68875
SL-0.68442
TP1-0.69098
TP2-0.69298

NZDUSD BUY -0.66123
SL-0.65779
TP1-0.66319
TP2-0.66573

AUDCHF BUY -0.67720
SL-0.67318
TP1-0.67967
TP2-0.68149

 

 

result

Yesterday EURUSD BUY SIGNAL reaches target 1 and we got 17 pips profit now 🙂

Yesterday EURJPY BUY SIGNAL reaches target 2 and we got 40 pips profit now 🙂

Yesterday AUDJPY BUY SIGNAL reaches target 1 and we got 20 pips profit now 🙂

Yesterday CHFJPY BUY SIGNAL reaches target 2 and we got 50 pips profit now 🙂

Yesterday AUDUSD,AUDCHF,NZDUSD SIGNALS reaches stop losses 🙁

rfxsignals December 14, 2019 No Comments

Forex Weekly Outlook December 16-20

After a week to remember in UK politics, Lagarde’s first decision at the helm of the ECB, the last Fed decision of the year, another chapter in the trade drama, life goes on. Apart from the reactions to previous events, final US GDP, the Bank of England’s rate decision, and a mix of data from all over the world will set the tone  Here the highlights for the upcoming week.

  1. Euro-zone PMIs: Monday, 8:15 for France, 8:30 for Germany, and 9:00 for the whole euro-zone. Markit’s forward-looking Purchasing Managers’ Indexes have to point to a recovery of sorts in November. The initial figures for December are projected to show further improvement. In France, both the manufacturing and services sectors are growing, albeit it a slow pace. The German manufacturing sector is still in the doldrums – contracting at a rapid clip, albeit off the lows. The PMI for the industrial sector stood at 44.1 points and is expected to advance to only 44.3 – below the 50-point threshold that separates extraction from contraction. In the meantime, the continent’s largest economy is seeing its services sector slowing down, with 51.7 points. The composite index for the whole continent is set tick from 50.6 to 50.9 points, indicating meager expansion. All in all, investors want to see if the recent green shoots can turn into growth, or if they are only a temporary recovery before another downturn.
  2. UK PMIs: Monday, 9:30. The preliminary PMIs for the UK have been compiled before the elections, and may not fully reflect the full reaction. Nevertheless, they may move the pound. The manufacturing sector is set to recover from 48.9 to 50.7 points, while the services sector carries expectations of falling from 49.3 to 48.9 points in December – reflecting weakness in Britain’s largest sector.
  3. UK jobs report: Tuesday, 9:30. Unemployment has stood at the historic low of 3.8% in September and a minor increase to 3.9% is on the cards now. Wages have continued advancing at a satisfactory pace of 3.6% – both including and excluding wages. The figures have no political impact at this point, but they will influence the Bank of England’s decision later in the week.
  4. German IFO Business Climate: Wednesday, 9:00. Similar to PMIs, Germany’s No. 1 think tank has been showing a minor recovery. The main indicator stood at 95 points while the Current Assessment was at 97.9 points in November. The last release of 2019 will likely show similar figures.
  5. UK inflation figures: Wednesday, 9:30. The Consumer Price Index has been slipping to lower ground, hitting a low of 1.5% yearly in October. A minor acceleration to 1.6% is on the cards. Core CPI is set to remain unchanged at 1.7%. This is further input for the BOE.
  6. New Zealand GDP: Wednesday, 21:45. The South Pacific nation, recently hit by an eruption of a volcano, has seen yearly growth at 2.1% in the second quarter. A minimal slowdown to 2% is on the cards for the third one. New Zealand releases Gross Domestic Product numbers only once per quarter, making every release more impactful.
  7. Australian jobs report: Thursday, 00:30. Australia’s labor market badly disappointed in October with a loss of 19,000 jobs. Expectations are higher this time, with an increase of 15,000 positions and an increase from 66% to 66.1 in the participation rate – keeping the jobless rate unchanged at 5.3%.
  8. Japanese rate decision: Thursday, early in the morning. The Bank of Japan has left the interest rate unchanged at -0.10% for several years, as it aims to lift inflation without hurting banks too much. It also aims to keep long-term lending costs muted – by targeting the ten-year yields. Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of the BOJ, has kept the door open for more stimulus but has only tweaked the bank’s pledge to keep rates low for as much as needed. The Tokyo-based institution will likely leave rates unchanged at the last meeting of the year.
  9. UK rate decision: Thursday, 12:00. Two members of the Bank of England surprised markets by voting for a rate cut in November. Despite deteriorating economic conditions, the BOE will likely leave interest rates unchanged at 0.75% in its last meeting of the year. Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, is set to end his tenure at the end of the year but may be asked to stay on for longer. The accompanying meeting minutes are of interest, as they will shed light on the voting pattern and also set the stage for policy in 2020. The latest jobs and inflation figures may be referred to in the publication.
  10. UK GDP: Friday, 9:30. The final read of Britain’s GDP growth in the third quarter is expected to confirm the 0.3% read – which showed that the UK avoided a recession. Any downgrade may weigh on the pound, especially as recent monthly GDP numbers for October have shown no growth.
  11. US GDP: Friday, 13:30. The second read of Q3 GDP surprised with an upgrade to 2.1% annualized growth – better than 1.9% originally reported. A similar figure is likely in the third and final read. Any change may move markets amid thin liquidity, as many traders will have left for their Christmas holidays.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 13.12.2019 (USDCAD, AUDUSD)

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 13.12.2019 (USDCAD, AUDUSD)

13.12.2019

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair continues forming another descending wave. By now, it has completed Hammer reversal pattern. The current situation implies that after reversing USDCAD may form a slight correction and then continue falling towards 1.3132. However, we shouldn’t ignore an alternative scenario, according to which the instrument may grow to return to 1.3235.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair continues forming the ascending tendency. After forming Hanging Man reversal pattern close to the channel’s upside border, AUDUSD is starting to reverse. In this case, the downside target may be at 0.6805. However, we shouldn’t ignore an alternative scenario, which implies that the instrument may update its highs and test 0.6945.

AUDUSD

Murrey Math Lines 13.12.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD)

Murrey Math Lines 13.12.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD)

13.12.2019

EURUSD, “Euro vs. US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, EURUSD is moving above 5/8. In this case, the price is expected to continue trading upwards to reach the resistance at 8/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 5/8 to the downside. After that, the instrument may resume falling towards the support at 3/8.

EURUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the M15 chart, the pair has broken the upside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, may continue moving upwards.

EURUSD_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, GBPUSD is moving above 5/8. In this case, the price is expected to continue growing towards the resistance at 8/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 5/8. After that, the instrument may continue falling to reach the support at 3/8.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the M15 chart, the pair has broken the upside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, may continue trading upwards to reach 8/8 from the H4 chart.

GBPUSD_M15

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 13.12.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)

13.12.2019

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

After forming a continuation pattern around 1.1111 and breaking 1.1153, EURUSD has almost reached the short-term upside target at 1.1098. Possibly, today the pair may consolidate around 1.1180 and expand this range both upwards and downwards, 1.1200 and 1.1155 respectively. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the market may resume moving upwards with the key target at 1.1236 if to the downside – start a new correction to reach 1.1111.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

After rebounding from 1.3050 and breaking 1.3225, GBPUSD has almost reached the short-term target of the third ascending wave at 1.3488. Today, the pair may consolidate around this level. If later the price breaks this range to the downside at 1.3420, the market may start a new correction to reach 1.3333; if to the upside at 1.3511 – expand the range towards 1.3539 and then resume moving downwards with the target at 1.3200.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After reaching the downside target at 0.9808, USDCHF has formed the ascending impulse towards 0.9870; right now, it is consolidating around 0.9845. Possibly, today the pair may expand this range both downwards and upwards, 0.9820 and 0.9880 respectively. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the market may start another correction with the target at 0.9916; if to the downside – form a new descending structure to reach 0.9777.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY has broken 109.00; right now, it is still growing towards 109.77. Today, the pair may reach 109.70 and then start a new correction towards 109.40, at least. After that, the instrument may form one more ascending structure to reach to 109.77.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD has reached the short-term upside target at 0.6916; right now, it is consolidating at the top. Possibly, the pair may fall to reach 0.6878 (at least) and then resume moving upwards with the key upside target at 0.6962.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB has reached the short-term downside target at 62.75. Possibly, today the pair may consolidate near the lows. If later the price breaks this range to the downside at 62.60, the market may continue trading inside the downtrend towards 62.22; if to the upside at 62.80 – start a new correction with the target at 63.25 and then resume trading inside the downtrend.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is moving downwards with the target at 1.3140. Today, the pair may reach 1.3147 and then form one more ascending structure towards 1.3200. Later, the market may resume moving downwards to reach the above-mentioned target.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has completed the ascending wave at 1486.60 along with the descending impulse at 1468.60; right now, it is consolidating around the latter level. The main scenario implies that the price may form a new descending structure towards 1458.20 and then resume moving upwards to return to 1468.60. Later, the market may start another decline with the target at 1444.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent has finished the ascending impulse at 65.15; right now, it is correcting downwards to reach 64.30. After that, the market may start a new growth with the short-term target at 65.90.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

BTCUSD is without any particular direction. According to the main scenario, the price is expected to fall towards 7000.00 and then resume moving upwards with the target at 7600.00.

BTCUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

rfxsignals December 13, 2019 No Comments

The Pound skyrocketed to its highs. Overview for 13.12.2019

The Pound skyrocketed to its highs. Overview for 13.12.2019

13.12.2019

GBPUSD is heading towards the highs of spring of 2018 after preliminary results of the early parliamentary elections were announced.

The British Pound almost reached the highs of May 2018 against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 1.3410.

According to the preliminary results, the Conservative party got at least 368 out of 650 seats in the early parliamentary elections that took place yesterday. The party hasn’t seen such strong results for a very long time, while for its opponent, the British Labor Party, they are the worst over 40 years.

Now, the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has to navigate all necessary documents for the Brexit through the renewed Parliament. This convocation of the Parliament is expected to be more suitable for ratifying the agreement with the European Union. In case everything goes the way as it should, the United Kingdom may exit the alliance within the specified time, before the end of January 2020.

Actually, upsurge in the Pound describes the situation perfectly. It’s amazing that Johnson didn’t cave in to the opposition put up earlier in the House of Commons.

In the short-term, investors’ attention will slowly switch to London-Brussels talks on trading conditions.  This week, it was said this week that the parties were very unlikely to have enough time for discussing everything that concerned trade relations and making a deal until the end of January. In this case, the United Kingdom may exit the European Union with a minimum set of trading arrangements. The rest of them will have to be madу off the cuff.

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 12.12.2019 (AUDUSD, USDCAD)

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 12.12.2019 (AUDUSD, USDCAD)

12.12.2019

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the convergence made AUDUSD start a new rising wave to reach the high at 0.6929. If the price breaks it, the uptrend will continue towards the long-term target at 50.0% (0.6985).

AUDUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows more detailed structure of the current correctional uptrend, which has already reached 76.0% fibo. Right now, the pair is expected to form a new pullback towards the local support at 50.0% fibo (0.6841).

AUDUSD_H1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the bearish tendency continues. After completing the pullback towards the resistance at 23.6% fibo (13261), USDCAD is forming another descending impulse. The next downside targets may be 61.8% and 76.0% fibo at 1.3151 and 1.3111 respectively. However, the key target is the low at 1.3042.

USDCAD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows more detailed structure of the current descending tendency. As we can see, the pair is getting close to the target, which is 61.8% fibo at 1.3151.

USDCAD_H1

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 12.12.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 12.12.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)

12.12.2019

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD has chosen an alternative scenario to continue the ascending wave. Possibly, today the pair may grow towards 1.1150 and then start a new correction to reach 1.1111. Later, the market may continue moving upwards with the target at 1.1180.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD is moving upwards. Possibly, the pair may extend the wave towards 1.3252. Today, the price may fall to reach 1.3200 and then start a new growth with the target at 1.3252.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF has rebounded from 0.9861 to the downside; right now, it is still falling. Possibly, the pair may reach 0.9804 and then form one more ascending structure to return to 0.9860.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

USDJPY is forming another descending structure towards 108.27. Possibly, today the pair may reach 108.34 and then start another growth towards 108.57. After that, the instrument may continue moving downwards with the target at 108.27.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD has broken 0.6850; right now, it is still growing. Today, the pair may test 0.6868 from above and then resume trading inside the uptrend with the short-term target at 0.6906.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB continues forming the downside continuation pattern around 63.60. Possibly, today the pair may fall to reach 63.06 and then start another correction to return to 63.60. Later, the market may form a new descending structure with the short-term target at 62.75.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is moving downwards to reach 1.3140. Later, the market may form one more ascending structure towards 1.3216, thus forming a new consolidation range between these levels. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may resume trading downwards to reach 1.3108; if to the upside – continue the uptrend with the target at 1.3282.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has completed the ascending structure at 1470.60. Possibly, the pair may form an upside continuation pattern to start a new wave with the target at 1487.27. Today, the price may form a new descending structure to test 1470.60 from above and then and then resume moving upwards to reach the above-mentioned target.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent has completed Flag pattern; right now, it is growing towards 64.88. After that, the market may start a new decline towards 64.12 and then form one more ascending structure with the short-term target at 66.77.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

BTCUSD is correcting towards 7000.00. Possibly, the pair may extend this structure down to 6900.00. After that, the instrument may resume moving upwards with the target at 8165.00.

BTCUSD

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 12.12.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 12.12.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)

12.12.2019

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending tendency continues. After completing several reversal patterns, including Inverted Hammer, close to the channel’s downside, XAUUSD is trying to reverse. In this case, the price may form a slight correction and resume growing with the upside target at 1488.88. At the same time, we shouldn’t exclude an opposite scenario, which implies that the instrument may continue falling towards 1455.55.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand vs. US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending tendency continues. After forming several reversal patterns, including Shooting Star, near the channel’s upside border, NZDUSD is trying to reverse. Later, the market may start a new decline to reach the closest support level at 0.6515. At the same time, one shouldn’t exclude an opposite scenario, according to which the instrument may update its highs and grow towards 0.6610.

NZDUSD