rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

Feel Like Giving Up Trading? Here’s How to Fix That…

The idea for today’s lesson came to me from a member who emailed me recently asking for help with his trading. He had become so frustrated with his trading that he was ready to throw in the towel and give up on trading completely.

This members story is very real, but I have changed the name to keep his identity private. You will probably identify with much of this story if you’ve been struggling or have become frustrated with your trading recently.

Here’s the plan of action I gave to this member, to help him re-ignite his passion for trading and start improving his results…

Meet Johnny

Johnny had spent years trying to trade. He felt like he tried everything and after much trial and error, he was finally getting confident in his trading abilities. Yet, he still couldn’t seem to make it work. He still wasn’t profiting, after nearly 10 years in the markets. He was feeling jaded, like he was ready to throw in the towel and simply admit defeat and give up on trading forever.

However, he wasn’t one to admit that he wasn’t good at something, and so it was a hard pill to have to swallow, that maybe trading just wasn’t for him. Maybe he simply didn’t have the genetic makeup for it or maybe he wasn’t using the right method. He wasn’t sure. Yet, he still didn’t’ want to totally give up hope.

The same things that drew him to trading were still calling to him from the back of his mind; no more working a job he hated, no more bosses telling him what to do, no more sacrificing family time to work to pay bills, unlimited income potential. The allure of total freedom was what initially drew Johnny to the markets, and it has such a huge pull, that it was just too hard to give it up completely.

So, after reading Johnny’s story, I sent him a detailed email, outlining some psychological pitfalls I saw he was making, as well as an outline of how he could get his trading back on track. Here are some of the points I included…

Remember what first attracted you to trading…

What drew you to trading in the first place? How did you feel about it when you first found out about it? Just as in a marriage, to keep the flame alive in trading, we sometimes must stop and remind ourselves what we liked so much in the beginning. For me, it was the opportunity to truly be free, to not have to do boring work every day, to not have to be another drone, endlessly typing in a cubicle all day, or doing mindless physical labor that rendered my body useless right at the age I was finally ready to retire.

If you need a refresher, go read my article on why it rocks to be a trader, it will remind you the main reasons why we trading can be so awesome.

Read about successful traders

If you feel isolated and like no one is making money trading, you can simply go and read some interviews with very successful traders. There are many people who have already achieved great success in trading, myself included. But for some good reading recommendations on this topic, go and read some of the Market Wizards books by Jack Schwager. These books will tell you the story of real-world, very successful traders, and it will motivate you to read about how other people did what you are trying to do.

I would suggest that whilst you are doing the above things, you are not in any live trades. If you’ve been losing and feel lost in your trading approach, give it a break. You will come back feeling better and more clear-headed when you’re ready to trade again. This break is meant to re-calibrate your mind and help you re-discover your trading passion.

Stop trying to get rich fast

One of the primary reasons so many traders get burnt out and eventually want to give up trading or do actually give up, is simply because they are trying to get rich quick.

I have good article on why trying to get rich fast never works and you should definitely read it because it has a great metaphoric story about this topic. But just to expand on this topic a little bit…

Obviously, trying to get rich quick in trading means you’re probably doing almost everything wrong. It means you’re probably trading too frequently and risking too much per trade, which are two things that quickly lead to a lot of lost money as well as frustration and mental anguish.

I strongly urge you to change your perspective on trading and stop trying to think you’re going to make a lot of money fast. The ironic and difficult part about trading, is that to eventually make a lot of money at it, you must start out slowly and methodically and totally unconcerned about making money.

FINALLY make a trading plan

I know that everyone knows about trading plans and knows they should make one. But, I don’t think most people actually ever make one, which is a huge mistake. Especially, in the beginning, it’s very important you spend time writing out a trading plan and trying to follow it with discipline.

After you learn an effective trading strategy, making yourself boil it down and aggregate it into a comprehensive yet concise plan is something that will help you further understand your method and when you should trade it. You will also then have a physical / tangible document to guide you and to help eliminate emotional trading mistakes.

You have to stay accountable to your plan. If you break your trading plan rules you essentially are proving to yourself that you don’t have what it takes to be a trader, and to me, that is something I always wanted to avoid. I have always had a trading plan; at first it was a physical one that I read and followed each day, but now, due to my experience and developed skill, it is more of a mental checklist, but I remain disciplined and accountable to it. However, if you are new, or ready to give up at trading, you need to go though the process of making a physical trading plan, for the reasons mentioned above. (fyi – I provide a detailed trading plan template at the end of my trading course.)

Take calculated risks

Here’s an easy way to figure out how much you can risk per trade. Sit down and think about how much money you have that you consider risk capital; money that you can potentially lose in the market. Now, divide that amount by 20 and that is your per-trade or 1R risk amount.

Your risk should be a dollar amount that you could lose 20 times in a row and still be able to take another trade with the same risk. This will make it so you aren’t risking too much per trade, which in turn, will greatly help you develop and maintain the proper trading mindset.

I promise you that if you get into the habit of risking more than you’re comfortable with losing per trade, you are going to start having some big losses and quickly blow out your account which will lead you to wanting to give up on trading. So, let’s avoid that!

Demo trade

If you aren’t sure what you’re doing or you have an overly complicated method, you will lose money and eventually give up. Keep it simple by sticking with simple price action methods, ‘naked’ charts and higher time frames.

Make sure you aren’t trading live without having first learned and mastered the trading strategy you are using. You also should not trade live before having made a trading plan, as discussed above.

Demo trading is a critical component to getting back your trading passion. If you’ve recently felt burnt out and ready to quit, stop trading live for a while and just go back to demo. Demo trading returns you to a neutral, emotionless mindset, which will help you regain focus and perspective. It also restores the market to more of a competition or a game, rather than just about making money, which is a huge help in getting back your passion. When you think of trading as a game that you are just trying to play as good as you can, so that you win, you will be in a much more effective frame of mind than if you are just thinking about it from a profits / money perspective.

When you are ready to go live again…

When you feel like you want to give live trading a shot again, I recommend you try aiming for smaller wins for a while, maybe 1 to 1 risk to rewards up to 1 to 2, to build some confidence and get some wins under your belt.

Once you have some runs on the board and if you’re confident, you can increase risk gradually up to your 1R amount, whilst remembering each trade needs to be carefully planned and shouldn’t exceed your pre-determined 1R amount.

Conclusion

When you feel frustrated and ready to give up on trading, just remember that it’s not the ‘end of the world’. Take a big step back and remove yourself from live trading for a while to get back on track. Reassess your trading method and make sure you like the method and it’s not overly-complicated and that it makes sense to you. All you need is a method that gives you an edge that provides slightly more than a 50/50 chance over series of trades, you don’t need the ‘Holy-Grail’ of indicator-infused perfection (also it doesn’t exist).

The determining factor in one’s success or failure in the market is always their own mind. That is why I cover trading psychology in my professional trading course, in addition to the other topics. Anyone will get burnt out and want to give up if they don’t have the right trading method, mindset and money management approach, I call this the 3 M’s of trading.

Good trading, and let me know if you have any questions by contacting me here.

I WOULD LOVE TO HEAR YOUR COMMENTS & STORIES BELOW 🙂

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 2 Comments

10 Trading Affirmations to Begin Every Trading Day

How can you attain something you are striving for if you do not possess the proper mindset to achieve it? One thing I have learned through the years in my trading and business ventures is that if you want to become successful, you must control the narrative in your mind. If you constantly focus on negative things and let fear control your thoughts, you are going to go nowhere, fast. I would not have achieved the success that I have in trading, business or in my personal life if I was not consciously working to control the focus of my mind.

Today’s article is going to provide you with a way to start each trading day in the best mindset possible. As I’ve written about often, your mindset is critically important to your trading; if your head isn’t right, you aren’t going to make money at trading, that is a fact.

What we are aiming to achieve here, is to guide our thoughts to a place of positivity and confidence in one’s self. What you focus on and how you think is what determines your outcomes in life. There has never been a successful trader who didn’t fully believe they were going to be a successful trader beforehand. You need to work to cultivate the best possible mental environment to succeed at trading and this lesson will help you to do just that…

Why Affirmations Work

According to the website learnmindpower.com:

When you verbalize something and repeat it to yourself, it will influence your thoughts. This is why affirmations are successful. If you say to yourself, “I will have a great interview”, you will automatically begin thinking about your upcoming interview as a great interview. What you focus on, you attract so begin using affirmations to focus on what you desire.

There are three rules to remember when using affirmations:

Always affirm the positive.

Avoid asking yourself, “What if it’s a terrible interview?” or thinking things like, “I’m so nervous”. These statements focus on the opposite of what you want. Be positive, and use words that reflect what you want to happen. If you want to be confident, use that word in your affirmation.

Make your affirmations short and simple.

Use a short phrase, or one sentence at the most. Your affirmation should be like a simple mantra that you can repeat over and over again, without thinking.

Don’t force yourself to believe it. Just say it.

You don’t need to force yourself to believe your affirmation, simply repeat it over and over and it will naturally have an effect on you. Repeating the statement many times will cause it to work for you.

Affirmations are simple, easy to use, and very powerful. Many professional athletes use them to perform well.  Successful business people use them to close deals and run their businesses, and artists use them to be creative and come up with innovative ideas. You can use them too, in any area of your life.

Now that you understand why affirmations work and some simple rules to use them, let’s go over 10 trading affirmations you can use to not just start your trading day on the right note, but to help you develop a consistently profitable trading mindset:

1. “My mindset and mental skills are the key to making money in the market”

Perhaps the most important thing to remind yourself of everyday is just how important your trading mindset is in relation to your performance in the market. As I said in a recent article on trading educator Mark Douglas, one of the most important things he wanted to convey to traders was that even if your method is a high-probability method, it’s the proper execution of that method that you need proper mental skills for. If you don’t have those mental skills, even a winning strategy will lose.

A lot of people seem to be unaware of the fact that they are trading with a mindset that is inhibiting them from making money in the markets. Instead, they think that if they just find the right indicator or system they will magically start printing money from their computer. Trading success is the result of developing the proper trading habits, and habits are the result of having the proper trading psychology. – Nial Fuller

2. “Trade and think like a ‘Baller”

Continuing with theme of positive thinking and ‘fake it till you make it’ mentality, you really do need to believe in your ‘heart’ that you will become a successful trader, a baller, so to speak. The only way to achieve something is to prime your mind to achieve it, because your mind directs your actions. If your mind believes you can achieve something, then it will direct your behavior to turn those beliefs into actions and those actions will become habits, the habits that lead to consistently profitable trading.

To read more about this, check out my article on how to trade like a ‘baller’.

3. “Trading is a game of probability, not certainty”

So many traders get caught up believing every trade will be a winner, and they forget that there is simply no such thing as a 100%-win rate. It’s critical to remind yourself you will have losing trades, so that you do not become over-confident and end up risking too much or trading too much. You must remember that trading is a game of probabilities, not certainties. For example, even if you win 75% of the time, it means you lose 25% of the time, right? The CATCH is; you do not know WHICH trade will be one of the 75% winners and which will be in the 25% losing camp. It also means, that you could conceivably have 25 losing trades in a row, out of 100. You probably wouldn’t, but you could, so knowing that it’s a possibility to have a large string of losers, how are you going to approach risk management?

Are you going to manage your risk like every trade will be a winner? Or are you going to be realistic and try to remain neutral to the outcome of any one trade? If you are going to do the latter of those two, it means you would absolutely dial your risk per trade down to a dollar amount that you could stand to lose multiple times in a row, without become emotionally or financially damaged. Remember, your trade outcomes are randomly distributed, please click on the link if you don’t know what that means.

If you have a weighted coin that will be heads 70% of the time, you still don’t know the sequence of heads and tails, all you know is OVER TIME 70% of the flips will be heads.

4. “I always use a stop loss to protect my money”

First off, you must use a stop loss on every trade, always. I get emails nearly every week from traders telling me they either don’t use stop losses or asking me if they should use them. It only takes one huge move against you without a stop loss in place, to destroy your account. So, just accept right now that you MUST ALWAYS have a stop loss in place.

Second, you must know how to place stop losses properly. I’ve written multiple articles about this topic (one I just linked you to) and I also discuss it in-depth in my trading course, so you can study those resources to learn more about it. For now, here is a quote about stop losses from one of the trading legends I wrote about in my Market Wizards article, Bruce Kovner:

“Whenever I enter a position, I have a predetermined stop. That is the only way I can sleep. I know where I’m getting out before I get in. The position size on a trade is determined by the stop, and the stop is determined on a technical basis.” – Bruce Kovner

5. “I enjoy taking profits, I will take the money when it’s there”

This one may seem odd, but it’s important to remind yourself you need to take profits. Many traders hold and hold their trades until they turn into losses. In a recent article on this topic, I wrote about why you should ‘take the money and run’, regarding cashing out of profitable positions and booking profits. Too often, traders have no logical exit strategy in place and they just end up holding trades for way too long.

I would even recommend, in the beginning stages, you look to take 1:1 risk: rewards, rather than holding for big profits all the time. This will help to build your trading account as you will hit more winners, but more importantly it will build confidence in your abilities and the method you are trading and will also allow you to get a good view of how accurate your trading edge (entry strategy) is over a large enough series of trades.

6. “I will not be influenced by news or other outside sources of ‘noise’”

As I have written about previously, fundamentals and market news events are typically gigantic wastes of your time and energy and usually result in over-analysis, over-complicating things and as a result, losing money. But, you don’t have to take just my word for it, here is what trading legend Ed Seykota has to say about fundamentals:

“Fundamentals that you read about are typically useless as the market has already discounted the price, and I call them “funny-mentals”.

I am primarily a trend trader with touches of hunches based on about twenty years of experience. In order of importance to me are: (1) the long-term trend, (2) the current chart pattern, and (3) picking a good spot to buy or sell. Those are the three primary components of my trading. Way down in a very distant fourth place are my fundamental ideas and, quite likely, on balance, they have cost me money.” – Trading legend Ed Seykota

7. “I will let the market do the ‘work’, I will not meddle in my trades unnecessarily”

The market is going to move up, down and sideways, it’s up to you find high-probability entry and logical exit points. What happens in between the entry and exit is typically what separates the successful traders from the masses of sheep / losers. Successful traders are not meddling in their trades unnecessarily, they are letting the market do the ‘work’.

Markets move, so let them move after you enter. Do not sit there staring endlessly at the charts in hope you are somehow going to will the price into moving in your favor. You are there to read the price action and find potential entries that MIGHT yield profit, not to try and control the market, which you cannot do, so do not behave as if you can or you’ll just end up losing money.

8. “I will be a professional trader, not a professional gambler”

Are you going to be a gambler or a trader? Gamblers play games of chance and understand they are not making skilled, high-probability decisions. They do not have planned approaches or methods (most anyways). It is incredibly easy to click your mouse, enter a trade and get that injection of adrenaline that makes you feel alive (just like a gambler), but is that going to lead to long-term success in the markets? Well, I think you know the answer to that.

I suggest you focus on learning an effective trading approach like price action strategies and develop that into a trading plan you can implement to make yourself into a skilled trading machine instead of a random gambler with no discipline.

9. “Trading can be simple and easy, I will make it as such”

Trading doesn’t have to be complicated or difficult, yet many people make it that way. You must remind yourself that it can be simple and easy, and you start by learning a simple yet effective trading method like price action. All you really need for technical analysis is an understanding of price action, trends and levels, or T.L.S – Trend, Level, Signal, something I teach in-depth in my trading courses.

You don’t need messy indicators, period. You don’t need messy charts or messy thinking (fundamentals, news, etc.) All you need is your own mind and an understanding of T.L.S, money management and trading psychology.

10. “Trading success is not dependent on luck or intelligence”

Here is a good quote from The Turtle Traders co-founder, William Eckhardt on intelligence in relation to trading success:

“I haven’t seen much correlation between good trading and intelligence. Some outstanding traders are quite intelligent, but a few aren’t. Many outstandingly intelligent people are horrible traders. Average intelligence is enough. Beyond that, emotional makeup is more important.” – William Eckhardt

“In conducting the interviews for this book and its predecessor, Market Wizards, I became absolutely convinced that winning in the markets is a matter of skill and discipline, not luck. The magnitude and consistency of the winning track records compiled by many of those I interviewed simply defy chance.” – Jack D. Schwager

If there is one key trait that trading success is dependent on more than any other, I would say it is persistence. Not everyone will succeed at trading, but of all that do, persistence is one thing they all have in common. You must believe the dream enough to turn that belief into action and action into habits, once you do that, you will be well on your way to becoming a professional trader.

I WOULD LOVE TO HEAR YOUR COMMENTS & STORIES BELOW 🙂

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

The Market is Speaking, But Are You Listening?

Are you listening to what the market is telling you or are you only listening to yourself? The market ‘speaks’ its own language, that language is price action, and not only do you need to be fluent in the language of price action, you also must be able to apply what the price action is telling you in an objective and neutral manner.

Watching the price charts of any given market is something you must do every day if you want to really stay connected with that market and learn how to trade it. I like to think of following price charts like reading a book – to understand the story, you must read each page because what happened before will help you to make sense of what is happening now and where the market might go next.

How to ‘listen’ to what the market is telling you and apply it

Each day, at the close of the market you should check your favorite charts, it’s like reading a page of the market’s story for that day. You can see what happened, who won the battle between the bulls and bears and whether any price action signals formed as a result. It’s important to make this a daily routine so that you don’t forget what has happened and what the market is doing, otherwise, it will take you some time to get back into sync with the market’s rhythm.

When you look at a zoomed out daily price chart or a weekly chart of any market, it’s not hard to quickly see the primary direction that market is headed. This is going to be the ‘right’ direction to trade in, 90% of the time. Yet, time and time again, traders over-complicate this. Rather than zooming out, and getting a feel for the overall dominant direction of a market, many traders want to zoom in, further and further, down to minute charts, where they are basically seeing nothing but noise.

The most obvious direction is usually the right direction

If you remember nothing else from today’s lesson, remember this point: the most obvious direction is usually the right direction. What that means is basically what I said in the previous paragraph – the primary direction, from left to right that a zoomed out daily chart is moving, is typically the direction you want to look to trade. So, determining this direction is the first step of ‘listening’ to what the market is telling you. Don’t over-complicate it! Just zoom the chart out and see which way it’s generally moving from left to right.

Look at the weekly EURUSD chart below, we are looking back at about 4 years of price data here. This is how you quickly determine what the ‘story’ of a market is. On this chart, what I see is a large downtrend that unfolded, followed by a large period of consolidation within a large trading range, and most recently we can see price broke up through that trading range and is now trending higher. So, the current most obvious direction of this chart is up. You see how simple this is?

Next, let’s move down one-time frame, to the daily chart time frame (my favorite). Here, we can see the market found a lot of support at 1.0400 and has recently taken out the highs at 1.1100 – 1.1300 and more importantly, the highs of the previous trading range up near 1.1615.

This is how you read the market from left to right. It’s not hard, it’s just like reading a book, you need to understand where the market has been and where the key levels are to understand what is happening now and what it may do next…

Path of least resistance

We always want to trade in-line with the path of least resistance. In the EURUSD examples above, the current path of least resistance is up. So, that means we will look for price action buy signals on pull backs to support or value areas.  The market will TELL YOU what the path of least resistance is, all you must do is zoom out and ‘listen’.

It only pays to be contrarian sometimes, not always. Don’t let your ego take over.

Whilst I am a fan of contrarian thinking and contrarian trading, everything has its exceptions.

It’s important to not become so contrarian that you are no longer listening to what the market is telling you. For example, if you get long on a breakout that ends up becoming a failed breakout, do not simply stay in the trade because you feel so strongly about it. If you do, you are no longer listening to the market, you’re listening to only yourself. A false break is a like a big warning signal and you need to listen and take heed of that signal, not ignore it.

In this way, price action can help you exit bad trades just as it can help you enter a trade. A massive bearish or bullish tailed bar against your position or false breakout as just mentioned, can often be a signal that the market is going to reverse, so if you arrogantly stay in a trade even considering such a reversal signal, you are not listening to or trading in-tune with the market, which is a very good way to lose a lot of money, fast.

Remember, trade what you see, not just what you think, and don’t get emotionally attached to any one trade. Trade in harmony with the market, not against it.

The importance of price action signals

As we are reading a market’s price action and ‘listening’ to what it’s trying to tell us, one big obvious piece of data that we need to pay special attention to, is a price action signal. Price action signals often convey very important information about a market and so we need to not only be aware of them and on the lookout for them, but understand what they might mean.

Perhaps the most important thing about price action signals, especially those on the daily charts, is to not be the proverbial deer in the headlights when you see one. In other words, don’t freeze up and (or) panic when you see an obvious price action signal, don’t over-think. An obvious daily chart price action signal can act as either an entry signal or an exit signal and is something you should always take note of either way. They are important clues in the ‘story’ the chart is trying to tell you and they can often help you figure out what the market is likely to do in the near-term.

Confluence – when you see price action signals at event areas or key levels, the market is telling you something.

Let’s look at another chart. You will notice in the Gold chart below, price formed two bullish tailed pin bar signals at a key support level and event area down around $1215.00 – $1200.00; an area we had discussed extensively in our members daily trade setups commentary as a strong buy area in early July. When you get a clear price action signal at a clearly obvious level like this, you are looking at a confluent price action signal and this is a core pillar of my trading approach…

Conclusion

As a beginning trader or as any trader looking to learn to trade with price action, it’s critical you understand how to read and interpret the ‘story’ a chart is trying to tell you. You do this by first learning to read the chart from left to right and then learning to interpret individual price bars. This gets easier the more you do it, but it is important you check in with your favorite charts almost every day so that you stay connected and in-tune with the market.

Eventually, you will begin to develop a trader’s intuition and when you see certain market conditions or patterns, you will simply ‘know’ what the market is trying to tell you, like a flashing light saying, “I’ve seen this before”. The journey of trading never truly ends, but if you are passionate about it, you will look forward to learning how to read the price action and learning to ‘hear’ what the market is telling you.

I WOULD LOVE TO HEAR YOUR COMMENTS BELOW 🙂

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

Why Having A Trading Routine Is Vital To Your Success

I think we can all agree that habits are what determine our success or failure in any endeavor, trading included. So, how do we go about developing the type of habits that will lead us to profitable trading?

The answer: Routine.

Proper trading habits do not just magically appear out of thin air (unfortunately). They can sometimes take years to form. However, luckily for you, you have the power to put into motion a plan that will bring forth the proper trading habits sooner than otherwise possible. The development of positive habits, the ones that lead to success in any field, is something you can make a conscious effort to achieve simply by implementing consistent daily routines.

When you think about your daily trading routine, what do you think about? Do you even have one? Are you aware that ALL professionals, whether it’s a professional trader, athlete or doctor, have strict routines whether they realize it or not? They follow these plans and routines like clock-work, everything from diet, exercise, sleep and meditation. One thing that any successful professional has in common is that they have gone from daily routines to ingrained habits that virtually guarantee consistent and on-going success in their field.

“Look at the lives of famously gifted and creative people—including Freud, Beethoven, and Georgia O’Keeffe, to name but a few—and you’ll see that many of them optimized their daily lives to get on top of their games. Routine was their secret weapon.” – headspace.com

Once an effective daily trading routine has turned into an ingrained habit, it has essentially become a part of you and at that point you are effectively on success ‘auto-pilot’.

The power of daily trading routines…

Let me get this out of the way early: Without a daily trading routine, you won’t make it.

I am not talking about just having a trading plan either, I’m talking about what you do from the time you wake up to the time you sleep, this is all part of your daily trading routine.

Professional traders have developed a daily routine that maximizes their ability to trade properly and successfully. What does this look like? Well, it inevitably will vary from one trader to the next but many of the elements of a daily trading routine will be universal:

Get a good night’s sleep, ideally 7 to 8 hours.

Eat a good, healthy breakfast.

Identify the daily chart trend of the markets you trade at week’s start.

Identify key horizontal support and resistance levels at week’s start.

Check your favorite charts once in the morning, scanning for price action signals that have confluence with the daily chart trend and / or a support or resistance level.

Check your favorite markets once again after the New York close, again scanning for any obvious price action signals that may have formed.

If a trade setup formed meets your trading plan criteria, set the trade up and walk away until tomorrow morning. If no setup was there, walk away until tomorrow morning.

If you have an open trade, check it in the morning and just note what has happened, do not take any action unless there’s an obvious, logical reason to do so. Most of the time you should just be observing, remember, set and forget.

Whilst brief and simple, the above is an example of a solid trading routine. The biggest thing to notice about the above routine is that we are not spending a lot of time analyzing the market or entering trades. Instead, we are approaching the market the same way and at the same approximate times every day, this way, our brains are primed to begin turning this low-maintenance, simple routine and trading approach into a positive trading habit.

It’s important that you develop your own trading routine, one that makes sense with your schedule and daily life. The same routine will likely not work for every trader.

The lifestyle of an ‘end-of-day’ trading routine

In a recent article I wrote about end of day trading, I discussed some of the many benefits of this trading approach, but one thing I didn’t touch on very thoroughly was the lifestyle of an end-of-day trader.

Not only will trading in an end-of-day manner improve your trading, it will also allow you to have a better life and enjoy the ‘fruits’ of trading.

The trading routine that myself and many other successful swing traders implement, like the one outlined above, allows us to have a lot of time away from the charts each day. After all, part of the reason any of us get into trading is to not have a regular 9 to 5 monotonous time-consuming job, right? So, if you want to really have that freedom, you need to trade end-of-day and make it a routine.

I typically only spend about an hour a day analyzing the markets and looking at charts. So, that obviously leaves me a lot of time to do whatever else I want or attend to other tasks and businesses.

All you need is your laptop and an internet connection when you trade ‘end-of-day’ with a set and forget trading routine. You could, if you wanted, be a coffee shop trader and trade from anywhere in the world since you do not have to be in front of your charts more than twenty or thirty minutes at a time once or twice per day.

The science behind routines

If for some super strange reason, you are still not convinced of the power and importance of implementing a daily trading routine, let me share with you some information on the science of why routines are so powerful and effective…

As pointed out in an article tiled The Secret Benefit of Routines…

“Daily practice is a game-changer for creativity. Among other things, it keeps projects constantly percolating in the unconscious mind—and research shows just how powerful the unconscious mind is, helping us to reach better decisions than active thought

As Marty Nemko told me: “Having a routine helps ensure you do things well. For example, if your routine includes a daily shower, you’ll continually get better at it.” Sure, it’s harder to perfect your prose style than the way you wash your hair, but the same logic applies: daily practice is where the magic happens.”

A routine not only helps you naturally because it keeps you in-tune and intimately connected to the most important things you need to do each day (like analyze the charts), thus making you better at them (think practice), but it will also give you the best chance at implementing your trading plan successfully and following your rules of engagement in the market (since you will already be behaving in a consistent and disciplined manner – following the trading plan becomes more natural and easier).

Conclusion

It’s always good to remember why we got into trading in the first place. For me, it was to escape the 9 to 5 ‘grind’ and monotony of work, bosses and what I call modern-day ‘slavery’. So, it’s important to keep that in mind so we don’t end up turning trading into the same exact thing we were trying to escape. Trading is about freedom, so don’t become a slave to the markets and your charts.

Perhaps one of the trickiest things traders must figure out all too often through trial and error, is that to achieve the type of trading lifestyle they dream about, they must first realize that the only thing they can control is themselves. Spending a lot of time in front of your charts does not mean you are going to be a successful trader. The trading routine required to become a successful trader who doesn’t over-trade and become emotional about trading, is a laid-back, relaxed and minimalist type routine.

In my trading course and members area, I teach my students the importance of implementing a trading strategy and following a plan, but more importantly, I teach them the importance of sticking to an end-of-day trading routine that yields both improved trading results and improved lifestyle.

I WOULD LOVE TO HEAR YOUR THOUGHTS, PLEASE LEAVE A COMMENT BELOW 🙂

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

Profitable Traders Do Nothing 99% Of the Time

What is the single biggest reason why most traders end up losing money in the market? It’s simple: They do too much – they think too much, they look at charts too much, they trade too much, they risk too much and on and on.

The most successful traders and investors of our time spend 99% of their time waiting for opportunities and studying the markets, rather than trading them. Approximately 1% of their trading effort is spent executing trades and managing positions. In other words, most of the time they are doing NOTHING. Can you say the same? Or, are you spending 99% of your time entering and managing trades and only 1% of your time waiting patiently?

If you have ever read my articles on What Crocodiles Can Teach us about Trading or The Sniper Trading Approach, it’s obvious that my trading style is a low-frequency, high-conviction approach. So, why should you adopt a similar approach with your trading? Read on to find out…

The ‘hunt’ involves A LOT of waiting.

Just as a Crocodile spends most of its time stalking its prey, a profitable trader spends most of his or her time stalking good trades. You want to trade like a predator, not the prey in the market, what I mean by that is, you want to be the trader who is waiting patiently in the ‘bushes’ for the ‘easy kills’. You do not want to be the masses of prey (amateur traders) who get ‘eaten’ by the professional traders every week.

How do you accomplish being the predator and not the prey? It’s simple really, waiting, waiting and more waiting.

I like to say I am in “hurry up and wait” mode for the right market conditions to present themselves. What this means is, I am actually excited to wait, because I know waiting means I am exercising self-control and being patient and disciplined, and I know this is how you make money in the markets. I have no problem waiting for the right setup to form with the perfect market confluence, sometimes for weeks or even months.

The reason is simple, because I know for a fact that trading with high frequency is how you lose money in the market and trading with low frequency is how you become a profitable trader. Every trader eventually learns this fact given enough time and experience in the market.

Warren Buffet is a master of doing ‘nothing’

My favorite concept and metaphor for teaching people how I trade is that of a sniper. The sniper trading approach as defined in my article on this topic, is basically that I wait patiently like a sniper for my predefined trade criteria to align, rather than trading or ‘shooting’ at everything like a machine-gunner.

Perhaps not surprisingly, this is also how the ‘greatest investor ever’ manages himself and his activity in the market. I’m talking about none other than the great Warren Buffet, of course. Think about how he manages billions of dollars – it isn’t by entering the market every day, that is for sure! All you need to do is read a book about him or watch the recent documentary on him, “Becoming Warren Buffet”, and you will see he is an extremely patient and precise investor.

Not only is Buffet patient and precise about the transactions he makes in the market, when he is ready he dives in, boots and all. Sometimes, he even buys the entire company! You would call Mr. Buffet a low-frequency and high-conviction investor. As traders, we can learn a great deal from Mr. Buffet. Whilst we are doing something a little different than long-term investing or ‘buy and hold’, we should indeed model our swing trading approach after Mr. Buffet.

Here is a good quote from commodity trading extraordinaire, Mr. Jim Rogers from The Market Wizards

I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime. Even people who lose money in the market say, “I just lost my money, now I have to do something to make it back.” No, you don’t. You should sit there until you find something.

You see? The point here is that most of the time, profitable investors and traders are doing ‘nothing’ and by nothing, I mean they are not entering trades or managing trades. They may indeed be studying or analyzing the market in the meantime, but this would count as ‘stalking’ their prey.

Change how you think about doing ‘nothing’

It is innate for us humans to want a ‘quick thrill’ in all that we do. Constantly checking social media on our phones has been proven to increase the amount of dopamine (the feel-good chemical) in our brain, for example. We are a society addicted to doing what feels good more often than doing what IS good. We are born with a gamblers or speculators brain, seeking instant rewards and thrills in life and with money.

When it comes to trading, the ramifications for such behavior can be severe.

It can lead to treating your trading account as if it is a slot machine. Many traders end up entering trades, one after another, as if they are pulling the arm of a slot machine over and over in a casino. Of course, the difference is, we typically expect to lose at a casino, so most of us don’t take money that we need. In trading, many people believe they will be profitable because of some ‘innate ability’ they have and so they often risk more than they should or trade with money they really can’t afford to lose. Of course, once they start trading and get the dopamine fix, it becomes an addiction that leads to blowing out their trading accounts.

How do you change this poisonous trading mentality?

One of the best rules anybody can learn about investing is to do nothing, absolutely nothing, unless there is something to do. Most people – not that I’m better than most people – always have to be playing; they always have to be doing something. They make a big play and say, “Boy, am I smart, I just tripled my money.” Then they rush out and have to do something else with that money. They can’t just sit there and wait for something new to develop. – Jim Rogers

The way that we circumnavigate our own flawed trading mindsets, is to simply understand, accept and then embrace the idea of doing nothing. Embrace what you consider ‘boring’ and mediate on it. Eventually, after a few big trading wins that resulted from you waiting patiently for highly confluent trades, you will start to re-align your thought processes and the dopamine rush you used to get from entering trades and messing around with them while they were live, will shift to the periods of time you are waiting and stalking the market. When you feel like you’re not doing enough, you’re in the right zone, you must master being able to do nothing and you can do this by finding something else to replace that ‘void’.

Once you realize that being patient and studying the market or simply not even looking at the market at all, will make you more money in the long-run than the opposite, your brain chemistry will begin to ‘flip’, and soon you’ll be looking forward to the ‘hunt’, even if it means waiting two weeks between trades.

Conclusion

The Market is slower than we imagine, and trades can take a long time to play out. Take the chart below for example: It shows that patience is needed to grab the big moves, and we must ignore the short-term ‘shake outs’ that cause most traders to over-think and exit prematurely…

The price action setups that I trade don’t appear extremely often, and when we apply my TLS filtering rule and wait for that confluence, the trading opportunities are reduced even more. My trading courses can share my trading strategy but they can’t force you to be patient and wait it out for the right opportunity to arrive. It’s one thing to be confident in spotting trades, but are you confident in your ability to not over-trade even in the face of constant temptation by the charts? If you know this is your weakness (and I assume it is for most reading this), spend MORE time getting that aspect of your trading right, and I guarantee you that your account balance will thank you.

I WOULD LOVE TO HEAR YOUR THOUGHTS, PLEASE LEAVE A COMMENT BELOW 🙂

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

6 Unknown Winning Habits of Successful Traders

It is a fact that successful traders think and act very differently from unsuccessful traders. In today’s lesson on the unknown and rarely discussed habits of successful traders, we are going to discuss some of the most important differences between winning and losing traders. We will look at how they think, how they act and what they do on a daily basis. This lesson aims to provide both beginner and advanced traders some much-needed insight into the mindset and activities of a professional trader, allowing you to start mimicking these habits and ultimately improving your trading results.

You’ve heard it before I’m sure, but I’m going to say it again because it’s so true: If you keep doing what you’ve always done you will keep getting what you’ve always got. So, the question becomes, where are you now with your trading? Are you successful, or not? If you are not happy with your trading performance, then it’s time to do something different! Hopefully, the following unknown and rarely discussed habits of successful traders will enlighten you and get you on the path to profitable trading…

We Think Like Hedge Funds, Regardless of Our Account Size

I probably trade a much larger position size than most of you reading this right now, and I am not bragging at all. I am telling you that because I have been where you are at and after being there and moving to where I am now, I can tell you that account size simply doesn’t matter for the most part. It doesn’t matter in the sense that if you can’t trade successfully on a $1,000 account you won’t trade successfully on a $10,000 or $100,000 account either. Account size means nothing if you cannot trade properly.

However, account size can indeed magnify your gains and a larger account can change your life faster than a small one because profits (or losses) are obviously greater the bigger positions you can trade. But, before you can trade a big account profitably you have to trade a small account profitably, and it really is better you start on a small account first anyways. The point is, successful traders are always thinking like a hedge fund, they are in the mindset all the time. Don’t become consumed with making money fast, instead, become consumed with trading properly and winning and you’ll make money far faster.

We Exploit Herd Behavior

The ‘herd’ is a common term used in the trading world when we refer to the masses of beginning / amateur traders who tend to lose money. The goal of any trader is to move from one of the herd to one that typically does opposite of the herd or perhaps I should say a ‘shepherd’, one who leads the herd. The main point to understand is that the herd usually end up losing money, you don’t want to be part of the them.

For this reason, I have written articles on how to be a contrarian trader, because I prefer to trade contrary to the herd in most cases. Contrarian can actually come in two forms in the market….

We are not afraid to buy new highs or sell new lows

Ironically, whilst great traders are contrarian thinkers (doing the opposite to the crowd), sometimes actually going with the herd and following huge moves in the market can be the contrarian thing to do, because everybody else is looking to bet against the move.

How often do markets trend much further than you think they will? Very often, a market will get into a strong trend and unsuccessful traders will continue to bet against that trend simply because they come up with all kinds of reasons why it ‘can’t keep going’.

“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” – John Maynard Keynes

Take the other side of the herd

The obvious and most common contrarian trade is to take the other side of the crowded trade (market moving into a key level), we fade that move (fade, meaning sell into strength or buy into weakness). We know that most people get the market moves wrong, so we jump on the opposite side, either blindly at a key level or with a price action signal to confirm an entry.

We Don’t day trade

Successful traders are rarely day traders. There are many reasons why I ‘hate’ day trading, but the biggest one is simply that it’s much harder to make money consistently as a day trader than it is as a swing trader or position trader.

Most successful traders are what are known as swing or position traders, which basically means we hold positions for multiple days or even weeks, riding swings in the market and trying to profit on them. This is in stark contrast to a day trader who ducks in and out of the market multiple times on a day, trying to take tiny gains from each trade.

We focus on the daily chart time frame as position traders because we know it’s the most important and lucrative time frame to trade. I personally spend most of my chart time on the daily chart, second is the weekly and third is the 4 hour, occasionally, I look at the 1 hour but never do I below that.

In the chart below, notice on the left we have a 15-minute chart vs. a daily chart on the right. This is the same market, the EURUSD. You are looking at almost 5 months of price data on the daily chart (each bar is a day) vs. the 15-minute chart which is showing you a few days. That alone should tell you which chart is more significant and powerful. If you don’t understand why, please check out this article on the power of the daily chart:

A low-frequency trading approach is what you need to adopt if you want to become a successful trader. Remember what I said in the introduction? Well, what do most traders do? They trade a lot. Most traders lose money as you know, so you want to trade less frequently if you want to be profitable. One often over-looked reason that many traders lose money due to trading a lot, is because they get eaten up by the spread. Constantly entering and exiting trades adds up to big transaction costs (called the Forex spread) and for most traders this just throws more dirt on the grave they are digging for themselves by over-trading (it’s a huge unseen trading cost over time).

All the above points on why professional traders don’t day trade lead me to my next sub-point: clutter vs. clarity. You see, having a cluttered trading approach where you are trading all the time and using many different methods (especially trading with indicators) results in mental clutter. Chart clutter and trading method clutter result in mental clutter which leads to confusion and second-guessing, this all leads to losing trades and losing money. Successful traders stick with the strategy they have used and have confidence in, they typically only have a handful of ‘tools’ they use in their toolbox. I always suggest traders master one trade setup at a time so that they learn which ones they like best and then stick with those.

After all, you don’t want to end up like this guy, right? 🙂

We Hardly Trade at All

One thing that separates successful traders from losing traders, is that successful traders do not trade a lot, in fact, we hardly trade at all. The ‘big boys’ trade like snipers, not machine gunners because we know that is how you preserve trading capital long enough to take advantage of big market moves.

Beginning traders often do not understand the fact that being flat (not in) the market is a position. Remember; no position is often the best position. You need to have discipline and patience to excel at trading and this is built through waiting and only taking high-quality setups and learning to ENJOY passing on low-quality trades or when there is no trading edge present.

The great Warren Buffet teaches this exact same approach. If you’ve never heard of his “Punch-card” concept, here is what he says about it:

“”I could improve your ultimate financial welfare by giving you a ticket with only twenty slots in it so that you had twenty punches – representing all the investments that you got to make in a lifetime. And once you’d punched through the card, you couldn’t make any more investments at all. Under those rules, you’d really think carefully about what you did, and you’d be forced to load up on what you’d really thought about. So, you’d do so much better.” – Warren Buffet

Notice that he says, “you’d be forced to load up on what you’d really thought about”. This is a very important part of my personal approach. I don’t take many trades at all, but when I do, I believe in them because they meet me pre-defined criteria or I’ve researched them and I’m confident in them, so I ‘load up’ and I go in big. Keep in mind, you cannot trade this way if you’re trading very often, but you also do not need to trade a lot; one big winner a month or every three months even, can make you enough profit if you know what you’re doing.

We Use Wider Stops

Since I trade the daily charts most of the time, I run my stops according to daily chart price action setups and to the dynamics of the daily chart price action. The daily chart has wider daily ranges of price action (naturally) so we need to have wider stop losses than we would on an intraday chart so that we leave room for the market to move and not stop us out prematurely.

As we can see below, traders can use the average true range (atr) as well as nearby levels to help place their stop losses at safe levels on the charts (wider than what you’re probably used to) so they don’t get stopped out prematurely. Successful traders use wide stops because they know the natural daily price fluctuations can stop them out before their positions get a chance to take off in their favor.

In the chart below, notice that price moved slightly beyond the low of the pin bar signal in the chart, before rocketing up in favor of the trade. A professional trader knows that price will sometimes just violate the low or high of a signal before moving in their favor, this is one reason they choose to use wider stops than an amateur who would likely put the stop exactly at the pin bar low (which would have resulted in a loss). Wider is better in regards to stops!

We know what we are trading ahead of time

The best traders anticipate the market, they do not just react to it. I wrote about this extensively in a recent article on how to build a trading plan around anticipation, but I will discuss it briefly again here…

Successful traders trade like a predator, sitting on the sidelines and waiting to pounce on their prey like a tiger. Our trading plan pre-defines the conditions we are looking for, and as we map out the market in advance we see if it meets those conditions or not. This gives us something to stay accountable to so that we are not just trading on a whim everyday we open our charts. All we need to do is wait for the market to ‘walk into our trap’, so to speak.

We measure ourselves on R not % Returns

Successful traders focus on trading, not on the money. By doing this, we essentially make trading into a game or competition, and it’s us against the world. You have to play it right to win, and if you make a mistake, the consequences are very real. Thus, we measure ourselves based on R, not on pips or percentages. By R, I am talking about risk / reward where R = risk and success is measured in multiples of it. So, a 2R winner means we risked R and doubled our risk to make 2R. To learn more about this concept, check out this article: Measure profits in R, not pips or percentages

Conclusion

I’m not going to pretend that the above points are all you need to become a successful trader, but I will say that unless you take note of these core ideas and implement them into your trading, your chances of success are greatly reduced.  With sixteen years of experience trading and markets and nine years teaching people how to trade, I see it as my duty to instill into you the ideas, processes and belief systems that I have had success with and that I know others have had success with (including some of the members of our trading community) since I launched this blog back in 2008.

Becoming a successful trader isn’t necessarily difficult but one thing is crystal clear, if you don’t think and act like the winning traders whom you’re competing against, you will get chewed up and spit out faster than you think. It’s time to stop being naive and start thinking differently if you want to have a real shot at making money as a trader. Ask yourself one question; if you do whatever everybody else is doing and think how everybody else is thinking, what will you get? You will only end up like them, and as traders, we need to be thinking and acting differently from the ‘herd’ (who lose) to gain an edge and become successful. I hope the tips and insights in today’s article help give you a better understanding of some of the ways professional traders think and act so that you can start acting more like the ‘shepherd’ and less like one of the ‘herd’.

Now I Would Really Love To Hear What You Thought Of This Lesson ? Please Leave Your Comments & Feedback Below …

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

A Simple Mindset Hack That Will Make You a Better Trader Almost Instantly

What if I told you that you could become a significantly better trader starting next week? Well, you can, and it’s totally within your control. All you must do is decide to change how you currently think about trading and change how you are currently behaving in the market. If you aren’t happy with your trading results right now, it’s time to change something, wouldn’t you agree?

One of the most common reasons that traders never make it to the top of the trading ‘mountain’, is that they get stuck in an insane cycle of placing trades, obsessively watching the price of the instruments they’re trading as it moves up and down, and fiddling with the trade while it’s live, typically by exiting too early or too late.

These traders instinctively know their position sizes are far too big. Trading too big of size causes most people to become addicted to the ups and downs of the market; they can’t stop thinking about a trade until they are out of that trade. Have you ever caught yourself frantically checking your phone or computer throughout the day, waking up in the middle of the night thinking about a trade and feeling like you ‘need’ to check the profit / loss?

This destructive behavior quickly becomes a VERY serious lifestyle problem that will ultimately lead to a trader’s financial and mental demise.

Why do traders fall into this destructive mental loop?

So, why do so many traders seem to fall into this destructive mental loop of worrying too much about their trades? There are three main reasons for it:

Trading a position size that is too large, which makes the trader overly-worried about losing the money they have risked (that they can’t afford to lose).

Many people start trading without having obtained the skills or mindset of a professional trader, so they end up acting like a gambler in the market, going all in at a ‘casino table’. Subconsciously, many traders are simply trading for entertainment (gambling) and have not yet learned to treat trading like a business.

Trading addiction – many traders are skilled chart technicians, but they simply become bored in life and they end up watching the screens all day (and night) for entertainment and because their brains are addicted to the rush of dopamine that gets released every time they enter a trade.

As any regular reader of my posts will know, I often say that the goal of a trader should be to place a trade and not think about it obsessively. Set the trade, walk away and forget about it (set and forget trading approach), let the market do its thing. You are in the market to take advantage of price movement, so stop interfering with the movement. All you can do is pre-define your trading plan and execute it properly, but once you enter the trade your job and involvement should typically be done; watching the charts won’t help a damn thing!

4 Solutions to Cure You of This Doomed Mindset and Behavior…

If you listen to the following four points and implement them, I promise it will turn your trading around completely…

Trade a position size that matches your trading ability and knowledge

Too often, beginning traders ‘bet the farm’ right out of the gate, quickly losing a lot of money to the market. This is a gigantic error that you need to fix or prevent before it’s too late.

I want you to be realistic with yourself; if you have only been trading for 6 months or a year, you don’t know it all yet and you should only be risking tiny amounts relative to your overall risk capital pool and net worth. Until you’re a professional trader and you don’t need to read lessons like this you’re technically still a novice, so be humble and remind yourself that a novice has no place walking out into the market and pretending they have the skill level to bet 20% of their account on one trade.

I will never understand why some people jump into the market with a 5 or 10K account and start risking $200 per trade just because some book or blog says “hey, risk 2% of your account” or whatever, it’s ridiculous. If you want to survive long enough to become a profitable trader, you must allow enough time to experience the ups and downs of trading (that will teach you real live lessons). If you want to live another day in the market, you must preserve your bankroll by making sure you only trade a position size that you can tolerate given your trading ability and mental state. Protect your bankroll and play good defense, always.

Trade a position size that lets you sleep soundly at night

Forget about what people say about risking a certain percentage or dollar amount per trade and forget about how much money you have in your account; the only thing that matters is what you know is a comfortable amount to have at risk on any one trade… know your limits and be at peace with an amount you can go to bed at night and lose.

You need to trade a position size that you can mentally tolerate to the point where you can go to sleep at a normal time and not lay awake thinking about your trade(s).

You do this by first figuring out your real risk number – be serious and honest with yourself about this. What is your income? What is your debt? What is your overall net worth? Do the math and come up with a figure you know you can risk comfortably on one trade and live with if you lose. The best way I have found over many, many years in the markets is still a simple ‘sleep test’. If you can fall asleep as you normally do and stay asleep and not wake up thinking about your trades, you have risked an acceptable amount for YOU (this will be different for each trader).

Remember, you need to start somewhere and if you can’t make money on a smaller position size, how will you ever make money on a larger position size? The market will always be there, so get rid of any notion of ‘urgency’ or FOMO (fear of missing out) – it’s all in your head, and if you don’t control it, it will control you.

A regime to re-build trading confidence

If you’ve fallen off the wagon regarding your trading discipline and consistency, I can get you back on it, just do something like the following…

The most important thing is to work on rebuilding your self-confidence in your trading. You need to eliminate doubt and fear from the equation, which can be a hard thing to do if you’ve gone off on an addiction-fueled trading excursion and lost a lot of money in the process.

You will need to ‘exercise’ your brain and condition it properly so that you develop the right habits and routine, this will simultaneously boost your confidence in your ability to execute your trading edge.

For example: you can try setting up 20 trades in a row with a 100% set and forget mentality. Risk a smaller size than you were before and aim for 1 to 1 risk / reward on each trade. Remember this is an exercise to train your brain to place a trade, believe in the trade, walk away and let the market do its thing. You are working on letting go and being less-involved with your trades. You set a goal of doing this for 20 straight trades and you should see wins and this should build your confidence back up and program your brain properly – so that you see the value in doing nothing.

The best distraction

In the opening, I discussed the need for distraction and that many traders simply become bored (even good traders) and this results in trading addiction. The way you prevent this is by distractions. These distractions can take the form of many things; hobbies, family time, vacations, etc. But, perhaps the best distraction will be an unquenchable thirst for knowledge and trading skill development. Ideally, you should combine all the above. You want to find things to occupy your time, so the hours go faster so that you don’t even have time to check your trades or worry about the money you’re risking. Be productive! Sitting in front of your charts watching the markets tick by tick is NOT producing anything except poor trading results and a ton of unnecessary stress.

Conclusion

The point of today’s lesson is essentially that you need to change the way you think about trading. The simple mindset ‘hack’ I alluded to in the title is that if you want to succeed at trading, you must be realistic and stop trying to get rich fast. Trading can offer you the world, but the more you feel you ‘need’ it to work, the less likely you are to succeed. When people start feeling desperate or like they ‘need’ to make money in the market, they start doing all kinds of things that lead to their failure. They start trading too big of position sizes for their accounts and skill level, they start trading too much, and they just turn into trading addicts. Be realistic, be honest with yourself and start small and slow and work your way up as you learn, build confidence and improve your abilities.

If you apply the ideas put forward in this article dramatically reducing position size (even if temporary) and commence the mindset re-training regime I put forward above, then over time it’s going to become fair easier to look at a chart, spot a signal and pull the trigger with a stress-free and confident mindset. This is where you want to be, it’s where I am and it’s where you can be with true dedication and discipline. You may not make $1 million in the next year, but you will certainly be acting and thinking like the top 1% of traders, and that’s a great place to be, the world is then your oyster and you can build upon that foundation. Aim for one win at a time and don’t become mentally attached to your trades (be ok whether they win or lose). Get to a point where you can execute trades confidently and leave the trade alone. You need to get these things right because they are the real ‘keys’ to trading success, 16+ years trading and almost 10 years teaching traders has proven to me this is a fact.

Now I Would Really Love To Hear What You Thought Of This Lesson ? Please Leave Your Comments & Feedback Below …

rfxsignals May 4, 2019 No Comments

Beware of The Trading Pandora’s Box

In Greek Mythology, Pandora’s “box” was actually a large jar given to Pandora (the first woman on Earth), which contained all the evils of the world. Pandora opened the jar and all the evils flew out, leaving only “hope” inside once she had closed it again.

Today, the phrase “Open Pandora’s box” means to perform an action that may seem small or innocent, but that turns out to have severely detrimental and far-reaching negative consequences.

How does the metaphor of Pandora’s box apply to trading? Glad you asked 😉

Sometimes, an action or even a thought or idea we have regarding trading the markets may seem small and innocent but leads to disaster. Have you ever been cruising along in your trading routine, doing well, staying on track, staying focused, but then you take one trade you knew was a bad one and it seems to lead you off course and you spiral you out of control? In trading, we are constantly battling temptation to trade too much, risk too much, make the wrong decision, listen to the wrong ‘guru’ and just one little misstep can ruin months or years of hard work.

Simply put, as traders, we grapple every day with the potentially disastrous consequences of opening the “Pandora’s box” of trading mistakes….

As the Greek myth says, once Pandora opened the box, all the evils were released and only hope remained. This is very true in trading as well; once you get off track, it really leads you down a road of temptation that often results in worse and worse trading mistakes until one blows out their account and is left with only the hope of making money. The best way to achieve trading success is simply to make sure you never open “Pandora’s box”. The first step to accomplishing that is by knowing all the ways in which this box can be inadvertently opened…

Here are a few common things that result in Pandora’s box of trading mistakes being opened…

The Pandora’s Box of Trading Mistakes will open if you…

Here are the two big ones…

Over-trade

Ah, over-trading, perhaps the arch-nemesis of all traders as it is constantly lurking in the darkness, waiting to snatch us from the path of prosperous trading. Perhaps more so than any other trading mistake, over-trading is one that very quickly leads to an ever-growing avalanche of trading mistakes. You take one trade that you knew beforehand didn’t meet your trading plan criteria and boom, you’ve opened Pandora’s Box. Maybe you can just ignore that bad trade and go right back to being a disciplined trader, but sadly, most people cannot do this. The feeling of regret sets in, then the anger comes, then they jump back into the market to try and “make back the money” they lost on that one ‘stupid trade’. At this point, the cycle is basically set and stone you’re very likely to lose a lot of money as you continue to chase the market and try to ‘fix’ your past trading mistakes (by trading more). They end up over-trading more and more until they blow out their account.

Perhaps you heard a ‘tip’ from a friend, but you know it doesn’t mesh with your trading plan, but you take the trade anyways. Sure enough, it results in a loss.  You are mad now, because you knew you shouldn’t have taken that trade and it cost you money, and you broke your discipline and consistency. Most people will then commit another error by jumping back into the market to make back the money they just lost from that stupid trade. This leads to more losses and it snowballs out of control.  One break from your routine, can cause this, just one. One little slip-up and you’ve opened Pandora’s box.

Risk too much

Risking too much on a trade, more than you are comfortable with losing, is an excellent way to open the Pandora’s box of trading mistakes. Think about, what better way is there to become overly-emotional about a trade than by betting too big on it? It makes you think about it constantly and makes you micro-manage it, causing you to exit prematurely or otherwise at the wrong time. Not only that, whether you win or lose on a trade you’ve risked too much on, you’re doomed to open Pandora’s box…

If you lose, you will be hurt that you lost more money than you knew you were OK with losing. So, you’re probably going to try jumping back into the market to “make it back”, probably on a trade that isn’t there or that doesn’t meet your criteria, leading to yet more losses. If you win, you’re going to get over-confident and probably continue risking too much until you lose, sending you back to the market to make that money back and probably lose more.

You can see how one wrong move, either trading too much or risking too much will start a snowball effect of trading mistakes that simply get worse and worse until you blow out your account.

Here are some other things that may cause the Pandora’s Box of trading mistakes to open…

You had a fight with your spouse or friend or perhaps a death of a loved one (or you’re otherwise in an emotionally distressed state) and you’re emotional from that, you turn to the market for ‘comfort’ – enter a stupid trade and lose, bam Pandora’s box is opened. Simply put, you MUST be in a good or at least a normal emotional state to be able to trade with discipline and consistency.

Here’s one you probably didn’t think would open Pandora’s box: Trading from your phone. This seems little and innocent, but in my opinion, it’s a quick way to open the ‘box’ and let the evils of trading out. For one thing, the charts look smaller and more compressed on a phone, they simply look out of scale and you don’t see the price action or price patterns how you would on a computer or laptop screen. This is very dangerous. Trading from phones also can easily induce over-trading because you’re constantly tempted to look at your phone all day at work or wherever you are. For these reasons and more I advise against mobile trading.

Finally, do you want to open Pandora’s Box quickly and easily? Start trading real money before you’ve learned how to read a price chart or before you’ve developed a strategy and trading plan. I get emails all the time from people who have clearly just started to learn about the markets and who are also trading live accounts and wondering why they’re losing all their money. Trading looks easy on the surface, but to profit from it consistently, it takes proper training, experience and time.

How to Avoid Opening Pandora’s Box

To start, the main thing you need to do to avoid opening the Pandora’s box of trading mistakes is to simply make sure you don’t commit any of the above errors. Now, that’s easier said than done, I know, but I’m going to give you some insight into how you can avoid them…

Survive long enough to thrive.

You need to think of trading as a game of survival of the fittest, because it truly is. Only the strong survive in the trading world, and if you want to survive you have to plan and protect.

One of the biggest things that beginning traders get wrong is not managing their risk capital properly. They trade it all way and then when a high probably trade signal finally comes along, they have very little or no money left to take advantage of it. If you want to thrive or even just survive in trading, you must trade smaller position sizes in the beginning so that you preserve risk capital long enough to figure out what you’re doing. When you have truly mastered your trading strategy, then and only then should you increase position size. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint.

Learn to walk before you run

As I mentioned earlier, traders who start trading live before they’re ready, usually end up opening that Pandora’s Box of trading mistakes. So, how do you know if you’re ready to trade live? Well, it will vary from trader to trader / person to person, but, you should have attained a solid understanding of price action and how to read it and trade, as well as trader psychology and money management before you start trading live. Therefore, you need a proper trading education, so that you can learn these things in a proper manner.

Don’t worry about getting rich fast because it’s not going to happen. Worry about learning to trade properly and applying what you’ve learned slowly and small at first, then as you get more experience and confidence you can work your way up.

Too much of anything will kill your trading account

I’ve written many articles on over-trading, but if you still don’t know why it’s so bad for your trading account, consider this…

Do you want to behave like a gambler in the market or like a skilled, calm and collected trader? I suspect your answer is the latter, and if that’s the case, you need to listen up…

You aren’t going to find a lot of high-probably signals every week or month in the market, because they just don’t happen with high-frequency. If they did, everyone would be rich. There’s a reason only 10% of people really make it as traders, because most people simply do not have the patience or self-discipline to withstand days and days of doing nothing if there are no trades worth taking, and that’s what you must do! Also, most people don’t learn enough to really know when a high-probability trade worth risking money on is present on the charts. So make sure you’ve learned enough to know what you’re trading strategy is and what a high-probability trading edge looks like so that you know when to trade and when to sit on your hands.

If you play with fire, you’re doing to get burned

Do you like your money? Stupid question, right? Well, most people trade as if they HATE their money, which is REALLY stupid, right?

If you’re risking more than you can comfortably stand to lose per trade, you’re acting as if you hate your money. How do you know how much you can afford to lose? Well, you can plan it all out and figure it out mathematically, or you can simply do what I call the risk sleep test.

Can you fall and stay asleep soundly at night? Are you Ok with not looking at the charts / your trades for 24 hours? If so, you’re probably risking a safe amount. However, if you’re preoccupied with your trades in any way, shape or form, you’re risking too much and as a result you need to dial-down the position size you’re trading.

Learn to plan and anticipate

The best way to prevent your future trading self from inadvertently opening Pandora’s box, is to learn how to anticipate trades. You need to develop a trading plan built on anticipation, instead of only reacting to the market.

Your approach to the market should be to learn enough about price action and technical analysis so that you can begin reading the market like a book and identify areas on the chart you’d like to trade from before the market gets there. Then, if the market reaches the areas you’ve predefined and forms a price action signal there ideally, you only need to execute the trade, not think. The thinking and planning should be done in advance. If you wait until you think you see a signal to start planning your approach, you’re already too late in most cases.

Have a trading plan

Finally, perhaps the ultimate tool at your disposal to keep Pandora’s box sealed shut, is a good trading plan. You need a trading plan so that you rely on the plan to guide you, rather than just your feelings. We humans are flawed, but our saving grace is our ability to plan into the future. By planning our trading approach, we eliminate much of the possibility of self-sabotage in our trading.

Trading plans also provide accountability. Trading is a very solitary endeavor. Whilst it’s awesome there are no bosses telling you what to do, it’s a doubled-edged sword. What’s stopping you from over-trading or risking too much? Only you, and you cannot trust yourself 100% in the trading realm where you’re constantly bombarded with temptation. But what you can do is develop a trading plan and commit to staying accountable to it.

The key is to stay disciplined, stay consistent and stay accountable. You must do this for every aspect of trading because if you get off track on anything, you’re going to open Pandora’s box and then it’s lights out!

Conclusion

I’m here to help you avoid opening Pandora’s box, to survive the trading game long-term so that you can not just survive, but thrive. I want to help you so that you will be ready and waiting to strike like a crocodile with capital ready when you have mastered and honed your skill.  You can’t hack or cheat the markets, if you don’t follow the basic principles you will be chewed up and spit out faster than you think. Don’t let your ego and impatience destroy your trading account or chances of success…

However, I can only share my knowledge and experiences with you, but it’s up to you to listen and take action and heed the warnings I’m providing. If you do this, you will end up with the results you’re looking for, if you don’t, then sorry but you likely won’t make it.

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