rfxsignals April 3, 2020 No Comments

15 Minute Stochastic Forex Scalping Trading Strategy

The Stochastic Forex Scalping Trading Strategy will allow Forex traders to make incremental profits over short time frames. Over time, these small profits can add up to substantial amounts and can prove to be very lucrative for forex traders.

For this particular trading strategy, the timeframe that should be used is the 15-minute chart. It can also work well as a scalping strategy on the 1-minute and 5-minute timeframes. You may use any currency pair that you like for this strategy.

Chart Setup

It is important that you set up your charts right in order to get the best results from this trading strategy. You may choose any trading session that you desire to use, and it is recommended that you work with the 1-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute charts.

We will be using MetaTrader4 Indicators for this setup. Here are the indicators to use:

  • The Stochastic with the following parameters: slowing 16.0, %K 26.0, %D 18.0
  • The 120 EMA (purple on the charts) and the 50 SMA (orange on the charts)

Below is what a buy trade strategy would look like:

Stochastic Forex Scalping Buy Signal

15 Minute Stochastic Forex Scalping Trading Strategy

The first circle indicates the entry (buy) signal, while the second circle is the exit signal
Now it’s time to reveal the actual trading strategy:

The Buy Trading Strategy

Use the above chart to follow along. Proceed to buy only when both of the following conditions exist:

  • A clear buy signal is if the fast blue line of the Stochastic Indicator crosses the slow red line to the upside from inside the oversold region (below 20 level on the Stochastic). It should break and remain above the oversold region (above 20). Once this condition has been satisfied, you should proceed to buy.
  • Another buy signal is the existence of bullish pressure. This may be evidenced by the 50 SMA (orange line) crossing the blue line of the 120 EMA (purple line) to the upside.
You should place your stop loss about 2 pips below the support level.

When to Sell

The following scenarios are indicators that you should sell:

  • If the blue line of the Stochastic crosses the red line to the downside and from inside the area above the 80.00 level. It should break and remain below the 80.00 level on the Stochastic.
  • Another sell indicator is if the 50 SMA (orange line), goes across the blue line of the 120 EMA (purple line) to the downside. This indicates that there is selling pressure in the market.
Stochastic Forex Scalping Sell Signal

15 Minute Stochastic Forex Scalping Trading Strategy

Two short trade examples are shown here. Circles 1 and 3 are the entry (sell) signals and circles 2 and 4 are the exit signals
For a short trade, you should place your stop loss 2 pips above the resistance.

The Strategy for Exiting a Trade

If any of the following scenarios take place, you should exit the trade or take profit.

  • When the blue line of the Stochastic crosses the red line from inside of the overbought region (exit signal for short trades) or the oversold region (exit signal for long trades).
  • Another signal to exit the trade is if the 50 SMA indicator (orange line) crosses over the purple line of the 120 EMA from the bottom up during a bearish trend or from the top down during a bullish trend. This is an indication that the existing trend is losing strength. You should take profits and exit the trade at this point.
rfxsignals April 3, 2020 No Comments

5 Minute Scalping Forex Trading Strategy

5 Minute Scalping Forex Trading Strategy

The following is a 5-minute scalping forex trading strategy for the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and EURJPY currency pairs. Scalping is a special type of trading strategy that helps the trader to make significant profits on minor price changes.

In this strategy, the trader needs to make a minimum of 10 trades within a single day in order to capitalize on any minor price changes. A strict exit strategy must be implemented in order to minimize any potential losses. In this particular strategy, the holding time is 5 minutes. This method requires precise execution and nimble trading.

Indicators to Be Used

In this trading strategy, the indicators that will be used are the 10 and 21 EMA, and the 50 SMA.

You should then open an ADX indicator in a different window set at 13.

At least 3 criteria must be satisfied for this trade.

5 minute scalping trading strategy

5 Minute Scalping Forex Trading Strategy

EURUSD 5-minute timeframe – Two bullish signals are shown with the circles on the chart. Circles 1 show the first buy signal and circles 2 show the second buy signal. The small support trendline is shown as the dotted black line. The price action accurately reverses in the war zone and continues higher.

Trade Criteria to Be Satisfied for This Trading Strategy

  1. The first criterion is that the 50 SMA angle must be more than 20 degrees. The measurement does not need to be absolutely accurate, a subjective estimate is sufficient.
  2. The second criterion is that the price should pull back through the 10EMA to the 21EMA. The area between the 10EMA and the 21EMA is the fire or war zone.
  3. The third and final criterion for this trade is that the price must stay on the proper side of the small resistance or support line. You should draw a trend line from the last high or low prior to the cross of the 50SMA to the next high or low. This will form a small resistance or support line.

Trade Set up Rules

  1. The price and candles must all stay on the correct side of the small trend line. Otherwise, the possible trades will be canceled.
  2. Pullbacks of candles towards war zone must be smooth and flat.
  3. After identifying the first candle to enter the war zone, wait for the second candle to pullback from 21MA towards 10MA and then enter the trade on the pullback.
Picture

5 Minute Scalping Forex Trading Strategy

EURUSD 5-minute timeframe – Two bearish signals are shown with the circles on the chart. Circles 1 show the first sell signal and circles 2 show the second sell signal. The small resistance trendline is shown as the dotted black line. The price action accurately reverses in the war zone and continues to the downside.

The Trade

Enter the trade in the war zone by making a market order and putting your stop loss 6 or more pips away. Do not use a trailing stop loss. Profit limit must be between 10 and 15 pips. Only trade where there is a good set up. Enter on small candles and look out for flat pullbacks.
rfxsignals April 3, 2020 No Comments

Forex Breakout Confirmation Strategy

This forex strategy tries to exploit the times when the market is not trending. In essence, it rests on the statistics which show that the Forex market is trading in a range for about 70% of the time and it’s trending only about 30% of the time.

​Since price fluctuations are very unpredictable and irregular while inside of a ranging formation, it’s better and wiser to trade on a breakout of that ranging formation instead of trading it.

Forex Breakout Trading System

The breakout confirmation strategy aims to profit on such situations when the price moves out of the range and as a result, usually follows a more predictable path.
Still, we can not go blindly and trade any breakout that we find on the charts. In fact, the truth is that most of the breakouts in the Forex market are fake and you will actually lose money if you are not very experienced in trading breakouts.

That’s why a specific set of conditions must be met in order to increase the chances of making a profitable trade.

Conditions of the Forex Breakout Confirmation Strategy:

  1. ​Obviously, there must exist a range for the price to breakout out of.Now, for the purpose of this strategy, a range is not only the horizontal case but also a channel sloped upwards or downwards, as in a trend. In fact, a channel in a horizontal position is the classical form of a trading range.
  2. Next, before we consider entering a trade we need to have the price breakout out of the range or the channel.
  3. Finally, to initiate a trade we need to have a confirmation of the breakout. This confirmation massively increases the probabilities that the breakout is true and hence the trade will be profitable. Without a confirmation, there is no trading signal as per this strategy.

Note: The mechanics of this strategy can be also successfully used in determining true breakouts in single trendlines (without a range or a channel). However, a break of a simple trendline has proven to be less significant than the breakout of a channel or a range. Therefore, trendlines are not included as a condition in this strategy.

Entry rules:

  1. Find a well-established channel or range on the chart.A channel is defined as a period of time when price action is trading within two parallel trendlines on the chart and is prominently touching those two trendlines during this period. 

    For this strategy, a minimum of three touches is required on each trendline, as in the example below on the AUDUSD 4h chart. However, experience tells as that the more times the trendlines are touched the more significant the channel becomes. This in turn later makes the breakout much more significant as well.

  2. Wait for price to clearly break the range with a close outside of the range.

    Note here, that for a range you can trade the breakout in both directions either short or long depending on which way it breaks out. However, it’s different with channels because they often represent trends. So, the rules here are:you can trade an upward channel breakout only to the downside, and
    a downward channel breakout is only valid to the upside.

    When the opposite happens it can actually be a trap (often referred to as a bubble) and price quickly reverses.

  3. Wait for a pullback in price to retest the broken border (trendline) of the range.
  4. Enter after a successful retest of the trend line and a rejection of a move back inside the channel.Successful retest simply means prices have reversed from the trendline in the direction of the breakout. Usually, this occurs with some reversal candlestick pattern, like candles with long wicks (Pin Bar). This situation is shown in the example below at the entry point.
Forex Breakout Trading System

Forex Breakout Confirmation Strategy

AUDUSD 4h chart upward channel breakout and reversal – The breakout is confirmed and price action follows through to the downside!

​Initial Stop Loss Placement:

One of the best parts about this strategy is that it usually provides very tight stops and big profit potentials.

The stop loss should be placed right behind the retest of the broken trendline. That is:

  • above the retested highs in a downside breakout (look at AUDUSD chart example above); and
  • below the retested lows in an upside range breakout (look at USDJPY chart example below)
Forex Breakout Trading Rules

Forex Breakout Confirmation Strategy

USDJPY 4h chart – Horizontal range upside breakout (the blue circles mark the defining points of the range – each time the trendline is touched)

Targets and Take Profit Rules:

For a horizontal range

 

  • Measure the height of the range and project it from the point of breakout.4 possible targets can be calculated in this manner:

    1st target – 0.5x the height of the range

    2nd  target (most probable outcome) – 1x the height of the range

    3rd target – 1.5x the height of the range

    4th target – 2x the height of the range

    It’s best to take profit on part of the position at each of these targets or use a trailing stop after the first 2 targets are reached.

For a sloping channel

 

  • Measuring and projecting the height of the channel is not as reliable as with the horizontal range. That’s why it’s better to target major support or resistance levels instead.Zoom out on a timeframe that is 1 degree greater than the setup chart.

    Look for past support or resistance levels beyond the breakout and use those as targets.

    If no prominent support or resistance levels are present, use Fibonacci retracements and extensions to determine important price levels.

    Note: If the appropriate target level (support or resistance) is too close to the entry point then trades should not be taken.

Forex Breakout Confirmation Strategy

Downward channel on AUDUSD 4h chart – The retest of the broken trendline can happen much later after the initial breakout. It’s still a valid signal.

Conclusion

This forex breakout trading strategy is little more advanced and requires experience of drawing the channels, recognizing ranges and Price Action patterns. However, once you master it, you will become the real professional Price Action trader.
rfxsignals April 3, 2020 No Comments

Scalping is a popular trading technique in forex trading. It involves the trading of currencies in real time which means that positions are held for very short periods of time.

Here, I will present a 1-minute scalping trading technique that you can use for your Forex trading. You may use any currency pair that involves majors for this strategy.

The indicators that will be used in this trading strategy are Bollinger bands (18 period) and the RSI indicator. We will also use the MACD indicator and the 3EMA indicator.

Entry

You should be using a 1-minute chart with this strategy. You may enter the trade in either of 2 ways – with a long entry or with a short entry.

With the long entry, you must wait for the 3EMA to cross above the 18 Bollinger bands middle line. In addition, the RSI needs to be above 50 and the MACD histogram needs to be above 0.

1 minute forex scalping buy signal

1 Minute Forex Scalping Trading Strategy

Buy signals are marked by black circles – EURUSD 1-minute chart
Conversely, to make a short entry, you need to wait for the 3EMA to cross below the 18 Bollinger bands middle line. Similar to the long entry, you must wait until the RSI is below 50 and the MACD histogram is below 0.
1 minute forex scalping sell signal

1 Minute Forex Scalping Trading Strategy

Sell signals are marked by black circles – GBPUSD 1-minute chart

Where to Place Your Stop Loss

You should place your stop loss about 4 pips on either side of the Bollinger bands middle line.

This is a simple but very effective trading technique. Note that scalping usually requires a sizeable investment in order to be worthwhile. Therefore, you must be able to commit to this in order to get the best results with scalping.

When to exit the trade

You should exit the trade when 1 or more of the 3 conditions for entry are not satisfied.

So, you should exit a long trade when the RSI drops below 50, the MACD histogram is below 0 or the 3EMA crosses below the 18 Bollinger bands middle line.

You should exit a short trade when the RSI is above 50, the MACD histogram is above 0 or the 3EMA crosses above the 18 Bollinger bands middle line.

rfxsignals April 3, 2020 No Comments

4 Hour Chart Trend Following Strategy

With this strategy, the main goal is to exploit the popular saying in the trading world “the trend is your friend”. This swing trading strategy uses a combination of moving averages, support and resistance, volatility and a few other tools to maximize profits from the trends in the Forex market. At the same, the strategy aims to keep stop losses and drawdowns to a minimum.

Although this strategy can work well on all timeframes, it is best to be used on the 4h timeframe, which makes it highly suitable for swing traders.

Forex Trend Following

In this strategy, the 4h chart is used as the base chart (this is where we screen for potential places on the chart where trading signals may occur) and the 1h timeframe as the signal chart, or the trade chart (where we execute orders according to this strategy).

If you choose to use a different timeframe as the base chart remember that you go one timeframe lower for the signal chart (so if 1h is the base chart then the 30m timeframe is the signal chart).

The main cornerstones of this strategy are as follows:

We need to have a trend. This strategy rests on trend behavior and without one it basically can not be used.

To determine if there is a trend or not we are going to use a set of two moving averages, out of which one is a 34 period and the other a 55 period MA. You may notice that these numbers are part of the Fibonacci sequence.

We can judge if a trend is worth trading or not by observing how the moving averages relate to price action.

Note: For this strategy feel free to experiment with different types of moving averages (like simple, exponential and weighted).

For an uptrend, the trend should meet the following conditions:

  • Price action is above the two moving averages
  • Price stays above the moving averages
  • The 34 MA is above the 55 MA and stays above the 55 MA
  • The MAs are sloping upwards for most of the time as they follow the trend

​For a downtrend, the same applies just in the opposite direction:

  • ​Price action is below the two moving averages
  • Price stays below the moving averages
  • The 34 MA is below the 55 MA and stays below the 55 MA
  • The MAs are sloping downwards for most of the time as they trail behind the trend
​An example of a downtrend with the moving averages is shown on the following chart.

4 Hour Chart Trend Following Strategy

EURAUD 4h – A strong downtrend in 2016 provided several great opportunities for this strategy.

As can be seen from this EURAUD chart, the price tends to bounce off the two moving averages. Basically, the moving averages are a support zone during uptrends and a resistance zone in downtrends.

It is around and inside of this moving average zone that the best trading opportunities for this trend trading strategy are to be found.

We are trying to profit on the swings in the direction of the trend. So, for this reason, we want to join the trend on the retracements.

​Entry rules:

  1. There needs to be a trend on the 4h with the moving averages lined up as described earlier.
  2. We need to wait for a retracement to start and for the price to move towards the two moving averages.
  3. Once the retracement reaches the area around and between the moving averages we switch to the 1h timeframe to look for entries.
  4. There needs to be a retracement trendline (counter the direction of the trend) that has been touched at least 3 times (as shown in the example below). This will usually be a continuation chart pattern at the same time (on the 4h chart) like a triangle or a channel.
  5. On the 1h chart, wait for a breakout with a close of the retracement trendline in the direction of the larger trend (on the 4h timeframe).
  6. Enter on the breakout once price closes past the trendline (on 1h chart).

​An example of how an entry with this strategy would look like is shown below.

Forex Trend System

4 Hour Chart Trend Following Strategy

AUDUSD 1h chart – Example of an entry with using this trend trading strategy.

For this particular case, we would place the stop at 30% of the daily average true range below the entry point. On that day, the ATR was 72 pips for the AUDUSD pair, so 30% of 72 is 21.6 which means we would place the initial stop for this trade at 22 pips + the spread.

Stop loss rules are explained below.

​Initial stop loss placement:

  1. Place the ATR (average true range) indicator on the D1 chart.
  2. Set the stop loss to 30% of the daily ATR behind your entry level (which is the break of the trendline).
  3. Add the spread to the stop loss (for some more exotic currency pairs the spread can often be 15 or more pips which can make a big difference on the 1-hour timeframe in terms of when your stop loss will be triggered).

​For example:

Take the EURUSD pair which has about 100 pips usual daily range. If you entered a trade with this strategy on EURUSD, then your stop loss would be 30% of 100 which equals 30 pips plus the spread, which is usually around 1 – 2 pips for EURUSD. So, in total the stop loss, in this case, would be 32 pips.

​Risk management:

After you’ve entered the trade you need to manage that stop loss and trail it in order to be able to capture the maximum profit from the trend. Here is how this strategy works:

  • Once the price has moved 30% of the daily ATR in profit, move the stop loss to break even.
  • If at any point in time during the trade a counter-trend retracement trendline starts to form on the 1-hour chart then exit the trade.A counter-trend retracement trendline would be a trendline that is touched 3 times. Once this happens there is a higher probability that a new retracement or even a reversal has started. Hence it’s better to exit the trade and wait for a new opportunity.

​Take profit rules:

Because this is a trend trading strategy we will use a trailing stop for exiting the trade. This allows us to profit on a bigger part of the move.

There are some specific rules for this trailing stop order:

In an uptrend:

  1. ​As the price makes new higher highs, find the most recent highest high.
  2. Take the candle of that highest high.
  3. Find the low of this candle.
  4. Count backwards for 5 previous lows from the low of that candle.Note: Only lower lows count. Lows that are the same as or higher than the previous lows are to be omitted.
  5. Place the stop a few pips lower than the low of the fifth candle.

In a downtrend:

  1. As the price makes new lower lows, find the most recent lowest low.
  2. Take the candle of that lowest low.
  3. Find the high of this candle.
  4. Count backwards for 5 previous highs from the high of that candle.Note: Only higher highs count. Highs that are the same as or lower than the previous highs are to be omitted.
  5. Place the stop a few pips higher than the high of the fifth candle.

Here’s how this trailing stop looks on a chart.

The blue arrows are the starting point of the count and the line is the stop loss placement for that point in time. The numbers are an example of how to count the candles to determine the stop. You can see here how lower highs are left out until the next higher high backwards is found.

As the downtrend progresses with each new lower low, the counting for the trailing stop should re-done again and the stop moved lower.

Forex Trailing Stop Loss

4 Hour Chart Trend Following Strategy

EURUSD 1h chart. Notice how the manual trailing stop allowed the trader to capture almost the entire move on this chart. Trades are exited only when the price moves above the blue line which happened once on this chart in the first case on the left side.

Conclusion

​Finally, go on and practice this strategy on a demo account first so you can fully grasp everything before going live. If you find it helpful some backtesting on past price data is a good way to learn and master this trend following strategy as well.